WP1: Stakeholder Engagement & Co-Design

This WP will develop an integrated approach for engaging and consulting with all relevant stakeholders throughout the design and implementation of the people-centric tools to enhance the resilience of the built environment at block, district and urban levels, considering local environmental, social and economic conditions. Closely engaging with stakeholders from across the entire co-creation process is vital for ensuring that the solutions created during the project address existing needs and have an impact on the safety and resilience of the built environment and that predictive digital technologies to improve disaster and climate resilience are suitable to the user’s needs. This WP will implement a wide range of participatory processes to ensure wider societal impact for the projects research activities and outcomes.

• D1.1: Stakeholder Mapping Report

  Due date: 29/01/2025 - Task leader: PI

  This deliverable outlines the stakeholder mapping process conducted by Prospex Institute between July 2024 and January 2025, utilising the Prospex-CQI methodology, which ensures inclusive and systematic stakeholder selection across societal, geographic, and demographic dimensions. The stakeholder mapping report outlines the methodology and results of identifying and categorising stakeholders critical to the co-design of this platform and the project’s success.

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• D1.2: Characterisation of Stakeholder Behavior & Identification of KPIs to Model Behavior

  Due date: 28/11/2025 - Task leader: TCD

  This deliverable involves the Characterisation of Stakeholder Behaviours and Identification of KPIs (Key Performance Indicators) to Model Behaviours. It has been developed through Task 1.3 where the main activities were two-fold: firstly, to explore behaviour in the context of a disruptive event and identify a set of associated KPIs; and secondly to a suite of design personas and scenarios for each pilot site to provide a realistic and contextually appropriate narrative account of key user experiences/perspectives (persona) in relation to disruptive events that occur in specific built environment settings (scenarios).

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WP2: Risk Assessment, Quantification & Mitigation

This WP will develop and validate formal methodologies that will be used to characterise risks and hazards arising from both climate change but also from the occurance of natural events. Risks and hazards will be considered from the perspective of its impact, not only on physical buildings and infrastructure, but also on the impact on the social and intangiable outcomes arising from climate change or a disaster event. The latter will characterise the dynamic social vulnerability arising from the impact of events on the built environment. Thereafter, a set of wide-reaching KPIs will be developed to facilitate the definition of risk and resilience metrics in the built environment and enabling the development of an integrated, people-centered risk modelling framerwork that will subsequently be applied within the demo sites.

• D2.1: Methodology for Characterising Dynamic Multi-Hazard Physical (Building & Urban Infrastructure) Vulnerability

  Due date: 28/11/2025 - Task leader: UCL

  This deliverable D2.1 presents the methodologies developed under WP2 Task 2.1 for characterising dynamic multi-hazard physical vulnerability of the built environment in support of people centric risk reduction. It introduces a general taxonomy that integrates physical and social dimensions and defines clear processes for scoring, selecting and developing impact models across hazards and geographies. A harmonised asset taxonomy is adopted building on the universal taxonomy for natural hazard and climate risk and resilience assessments from ARUP and the exposure taxonomy maintained by the Global Earthquake Model (GEM). Fourteen attributes such as material lateral load resisting system, height, date of construction or retrofit status, occupancy, structural irregularity, exterior walls, roof and floor systems, and ground floor hydrodynamics enable consistent multi-hazard description and linkage to global fragility and vulnerability repositories, and each asset receives a unique taxonomy string to support interoperability and model selection.

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• D2.2: Methodology for Characterising Dynamic Multi-Hazard Social Vulnerability

  Due date: 25/11/2025 - Task leader: UCL

  The objective of this deliverable is to identify risk modelling techniques and to quantify how multiple hazards disproportionately impact different societal groups and sectors by linking risk models and their outcomes to socio-economic characteristics and interdependent infrastructure.
  As a result, the deliverable provides a coherent taxonomy of various risk models, highlights important gaps in the literature that hinder operationalisation, and defines community- and expert-engagement methods that pinpoint risk modelling priorities for socio-demographic and economic characteristics together with personal needs during extreme natural events. Consequently, it establishes an overall people-centred risk modelling approach, which is at the heart of the Minority Report project.

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WP3: Digital Infrastructure Specification

WP3 will involve the creation of the digital infrastructure on which the Minority Report People Centric Digital Toolkit will be built. Initially, all technical project partners will participate in a UX led alignment workshop that will establish a common understanding of the functionalities and requirements of the digital solutions. Thereafter, functional block diagrams of each module will be developed with the required inputs / outputs and their respective sources and this will be used as the basis to develop the Architecture specification for the platform. In addition, WP3 will establish the common data environment that will be used within the project as well as the IoT sensor requirements and the communications protocols that will be required by the digital tools.

• D3.1: Specification of the Minority Report Digital Platform Architecture

  Due date: 29/09/2025 - Task leader: STAM

  This document describes the specifics of the Minority Report platform and its architectural design. It aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the technical aspects and tools involved, with a focus on the collaborative work carried out to date by the consortium partners. It highlights the efforts made to identify interoperability and communication aspects between the various modules to be developed, as well as the key decisions taken to define the platform architecture. The goal is to proactively deliver a constructive and practical architectural design that will serve as a technical blueprint for the future development of the Minority Report platform.

  Not publicly available

WP4: Digital Resiliency Toolkit Development

WP4 will involve the creation of a peoplecentric resiliency toolkit that can be rolled out to improve the elasticity of the urban environment in adapting to climate change and natural disasters. This toolkit will comprise both digital modules and physical solutions in the form of urban
focused nature based solutions as well as renovation strategies and passports aimed at increasing the ability of the urban environment, from the single building or infrastructure node to the community, district and ultimately city scale, to respond to catastrophic events either as one off weather or natural disaster to the long term alteration of the prevailing climate due to climate change and the associated burden it places on the built environment.

• D4.1: Prototype Climate Modelling & Advanced Weather Forecasting Module Ready to Validate

  Due date: 27/11/2025 - Task leader: BK

  This deliverable presents the prototype of the Climate Modelling & Advanced Weather Forecasting Module, developed in T4.1. The core of the module is a generic and flexible statistical downscaling tool that provides historical and future meteorological data. The module is designed to simulate both typical and extreme conditions and allows users to select the location, extreme event metric, future scenario, and target time horizon of interest. The tool can provide both Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) and eXtreme Meteorological Year (XMY) files.

  Not publicly available
• D4.2: Prototype Data Driven Resiliency Models Ready to Validate

  Due date: 27/11/2025 - Task leader: UI

  This deliverable provides a data-driven resilience assessment module for the built environment, extending vulnerability analysis beyond individual assets to systematically evaluate intervention pathways across hazards, exposure, and vulnerability – the three elements that comprise the IPCC’s main concept of risk. This considers the integration of diverse, interconnected datasets, geospatial, infrastructure, demographic, and hazard data, that capture how buildings and infrastructure are situated within their wider urban systems.
  The module builds on fragility and vulnerability functions but shifts the focus from simply identifying risks to evaluating how interventions modify those risks. This reflects a key research advance: embedding interventions within the risk production process itself rather than treating them as external add-ons. By explicitly modelling how interventions act on hazards, exposure, and vulnerability, the module clarifies the mechanisms through which risk is reduced, the potential for unintended consequences, and the opportunities for co-benefits across systems.

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• D4.3: Prototype Mobility & Behavioural Prediction Module Ready to Validate

  Due date: 27/11/2025 - Task leader: UoC

  This deliverable introduces the Prototype Mobility and Behaviour Prediction Module designed to integrate natural-hazard risk assessments with stakeholder-defined persona characteristics to improve mobility and evacuation scenario modelling. The module presents the use of AI driven Large Language Models (LLMs) to translate qualitative human behavioural traits into numerical parameters. These parameters are assigned to agents representing individuals for each persona class within the mobility and evacuation models.

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• D4.4: Prototype Physics Based Decision Support Tool Ready to Validate

  Due date: 28/11/2025 - Task leader: IESRD

  This deliverable, D4.4, forms part of the Minority Report project technical pillars with an overarching goal to mitigate the impact of environmentally disruptive events by deploying people-centric predictive digital technologies that enhance disaster and climate resilience. Within this context, Deliverable D4.4 documents the development of a prototype Physics-Based Building Level Decision Support Tool, created under Task T4.4 of Work Package 4, focused on Digital Resiliency Toolkit Development. The tool adapts existing IES R&D software to incorporate risk and resiliency metrics identified in earlier project phases, enabling detailed, physics-based simulations of buildings and urban districts under a variety of climate change scenarios.

  Not publicly available
• D4.5: Prototype Probabilistic Early-Warning System Ready to Validate

  Due date: 27/11/2025 - Task leader: UI

  This deliverable presents a prototype Early Warning System (EWS) and framework that identifies emerging signals of climate-related risk and provides advance notice of when adaptation interventions may be required. The framework operationalises the concept of signals, triggers, and thresholds widely used in the planning approach Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP). Instead of focusing on traditional short-term emergency warnings, the EWS is designed to highlight longer-term trends in climate hazards, exposure, and impacts. The tool draws on historical data, hazard models, and probabilistic future scenarios to show how key indicators evolve over time and when they are expected to cross thresholds that trigger decisions or adaptive actions.

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• D4.6: Prototype Renovation Roadmapping Decision Support Tool Ready to Validate

  Due date: 28/11/2025 - Task leader: IESRD

  Deliverable D4.6 introduces the Prototype Renovation Road mapping Decision Support System (DSS) Module, which stands as a central element within the Minority Report project’s digital resiliency toolkit. Developed as part of Task 4.6, this advanced module is intended to automate and optimise the delivery of renovation roadmaps for both buildings and infrastructure. Its overarching purpose is to enhance climate and disaster resilience across the built environment.
  The Renovation Road Mapping DSS Module functions as a sophisticated decision-support tool. It integrates multi-criteria analysis, scenario testing, and stakeholder requirements to generate renovation roadmaps that are specifically tailored to the needs of each pilot. These roadmaps combine deep retrofit strategies with nature-based solutions, aiming to improve resilience to climate change and natural disasters, reduce energy consumption, lower environmental impact, and ensure long-term adaptability and performance.

  Not publicly available

WP5: Demo Sites Implementation

WP5 will involve the implementation of both the digital tools and IoT hardware devices, as well as the communication gateways to allow for their communication with each other within the three Project demo sites. Initially the WP will develop baseline “as-is” models of the demo sites to allow the consortium to understand the
complexity of current built environments within the demo sites. The installation and validation of the IoT Sensors and ICT communication mesh will be carried out early in the WP schedule to maximise the monitoring time. Thereafter, each of the modules developed in preceding WPs will be implemented and validated within the demo sites. Finally, the UX designed dashboards will be installed in each of the demo sites and will be tested and validated with feedback from local stakeholders, thus ensuring that the GUIs are localised and increase the likelihood of uptake.

WP6: Measurement, Evaluation and Learning (MEL)

WP6 will develop and apply the measurement, evaluation and learning framework that will be used to determine the
success of each of the measures and tools developed throught the Minority Report project. The WP will commence
with the development of the overarching Minority Report MEL process, including the calculation methods, KPIs as
well as input/output mapping to ensure that the impact of the measures can be appropriately and accurately computed.

• D6.1: Report on the Minority Report MEL Playbook

  Due date: 26/11/2025 - Task leader: UCL

  This deliverable 6.1 of the Minority Report project presents the development and application of a Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning (MEL) Playbook, designed to enhance the systematic assessment and continuous improvement of project performance.
  Overall, the deliverable provides both a conceptual foundation and a practical toolkit for applying MEL principles in project management, enabling more evidence-based decision-making, improved accountability, and continuous learning.

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WP7: CDE Strategy, Business Modelling, Scalability & Circularity

WP7 will establish the foundation for effective exploitation of the Minority Report digital and physical solutions to improve the urban resiliency of urban areas. This element of the project will commence with a detailed market analysis, where the relevant market will be sized and growth opportunities identified. Thereafter, the value proposition of each solution developed through the project and how it relates to the market opportunities available will be analysed to determine the most appropriate pathway to market. Following this, comprehensive exploitation plans will be developed with solution specific business modelling to map the route to market for the tools. Finally, WP7 will implement the IPR management plan as well as developing the scalability roadmap and pathway to commercial exploitation and market release for the Minority Report toolkit.

• D7.1: Project Media Toolkit

  Due date: 09/05/2025 - Task leader: DMO

  This report describes the deliverable D7.1 “Project Media Toolkit”. It is part of T7.1 “Project Outreach Plan and Media toolkit” and it summarizes the activities performed to establish the communication channels and protocols. Additionally, it contains the visual identity description and templates’ overview, it lists all the social media channels and describes current promotional materials.

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• D7.2: Project Outreach Plan

  Due date: 30/11/2024 - Task leader: DMO

  This deliverable describes in detail all the stages and relevant activities of the Project DCE strategy, including strategies for raising target audience awareness, maximizing the dissemination of the Minority Report results and activities performed in the project, including website. It is first due in M6, and an updated version will be delivered in M12, M18, M24, M30, M36, M42.

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• D7.3: Update on External Outreach Activities & Clustering with other R&D projects

  Due date: 11/06/2025 - Task leader: E2ARC

  Deliverable 7.3 includes a record of relevant dissemination, communication and exploitation activities, as well as reports on the External Outreach Activities performed by the MINORITY REPORT consortium partners. It also presents the common action plan on clustering activities, linked to the relevant task (Task 7.2 External outreach Activities & Clustering with other R&D Projects).

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• D7.4: Exploitation Plan and Business Models

  Due date: 13/06/2025 - Task leader: DMO

  Deliverable D7.4, Exploitation Plan and Business Models, presents a strategic framework to ensure the sustainable use and commercialization of the project’s key outcomes. Aligned with the Horizon Europe framework, the document outlines a clear roadmap to transform research results into impactful, market-ready solutions.
  The deliverable defines a comprehensive exploitation strategy, including the development of both individual and joint approaches, a structured business case strategy, and initiatives to support long-term sustainability and scalability.

  Not publicly available
• D7.7: Project Outreach Plan - Update M12

  Due date: 23/05/2025 - Task leader: DMO

  This deliverable is an update of the Project DCE strategy, presenting the status at M12. In this period, a common project identity was defined; several promotional materials were developed; the website and social media accounts were established, are maintained and regularly updated. Besides, monitoring tools were created to enable the monitoring of the CDE activities for the consortium members, and connections were made with similar projects for potential future collaboration and finding synergies. During this period, several stakeholder workshops took place to gather their valuable input and contribute to refining the concept of the project. The next updates will follow in M18, M24, M30, M36, M42.

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• D7.8: Project Outreach Plan - Update M18

  Due date: 27/11/2025 - Task leader: DMO

  This deliverable provides the M18 update of the Project CDE strategy. Since M12, the project’s communication and dissemination activities have progressed through the continued maintenance of the project identity, website, and social media channels, as well as ongoing stakeholder engagement through workshops and networking with related initiatives.
  Building on the media toolkit first reported at M6, this update incorporates the CDE management tools introduced at M12 and M18 update revisits all monitoring tables using the data acquisition cutoff of 21/11/2025. To further strengthen consortium engagement and support project impact, this version also introduces updated templates and an expanded campaign toolkit in Chapter 3, designed to be easily adapted by partners.

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WP8: Project Management

The main aim of this WP is to ensure timely and qualitative achievement of the project results through technical and administrative coordination and in addition provide timely and efficient organizational and financial coordination according to the contractual commitments. IESRD who are the project coordinator will lead all tasks within this WP with support from all partners.

• D8.1: Progress Reports (Financial and Technical)

  Due date: 23/12/2024 - Task leader: IESRD

  This report keeps track of spending for each 6 month period of the project.

  Not publicly available
• D8.2: Risk Mitigation Strategy

  Due date: 24/12/2024 - Task leader: IESRD

  The present confidential deliverable D8.2 - Updated risk register (every 6 months) is a living document, maintained by the Minority Report Management Board, to monitor the risks that could arise during the project implementation and outline any mitigation measures taken

  Not publicly available
• D8.3: Data Management Plan

  Due date: 24/10/2024 - Task leader: IESRD

  This confidential deliverable, D8.3 Data Management Plan (DMP) outlines the comprehensive Data Governance framework for the Minority Report project, detailing the management of data throughout the project lifecycle. The DMP establishes an adaptive and ongoing approach to data management, ensuring that it evolves as new data becomes available. It provides a clear strategy for handling, curating, and preserving data, with a strong emphasis on ethical, privacy, and security considerations.

  Not publicly available
• D8.4: Knowledge and IPR Management Plan

  Due date: 30/11/2024 - Task leader: DMO

  This deliverable outlines the foundational components of the IPR and knowledge management plan that will be operational during the project's lifecycle. Recognizing the dynamic nature of the project, this document is intended to be a living resource that may undergo revisions aimed at enhancing IPR and knowledge management practices.

  Not publicly available
• D8.5: Project Management Plan

  Due date: 31/07/2024 - Task leader: IESRD

  Deliverable 8.5 – Project Management Plan provides key guidance on reporting the project progress via Deliverables and via financial claims to the EC. It is intended for the content of this deliverable to be integrated within the D8.1 Progress Reporting deliverable, which will be updated periodically (every 6 months) as the project progresses. The document outlines the management structure and management methods (i.e. meeting dates), communication methods and protocols, reporting protocols, tips for potential audits and a sample Non-Disclosure Agreement (NDA) to be used when talking with organisations outside of the project consortium.

  Not publicly available
• D8.12: Risk Mitigation Strategy - Update M18

  Due date: 28/11/2025 - Task leader: IESRD

  The present confidential deliverable D8.2 - Updated risk register (every 6 months) is a living document, maintained by the Minority Report Management Board, to monitor the risks that could arise during the project implementation and outline any mitigation measures taken. This version of the deliverable is the second submission of the risk register and represents the updated plan at M18 of the project.

  Not publicly available
• D8.15: Data Management Plan – Update M18

  Due date: 28/11/2025 - Task leader: IESRD

  This confidential deliverable, D8.3 Data Management Plan (DMP) outlines the comprehensive Data Governance framework for the Minority Report project, detailing the management of data throughout the project lifecycle. The DMP establishes an adaptive and ongoing approach to data management, ensuring that it evolves as new data becomes available. It provides a clear strategy for handling, curating, and preserving data, with a strong emphasis on ethical, privacy, and security considerations.

  Not publicly available
• D8.18: Knowledge & IPR Management Plan – Update M18

  Due date: 27/11/2025 - Task leader: DMO

  This deliverable (D8.4 – M18) presents an updated version of the Knowledge and IPR Management Plan first introduced at M6. Building on the strategic framework established earlier, this update brings the plan into its implementation phase by introducing a structured Exploitable Result (ER) characterization template and outlining a detailed timeline for managing intellectual property across the project lifecycle.

  Not publicly available